Civic Intelligence

Probability Management Inc

EIN 46-0572110 • 501(c)3 • Palo Alto, CA

Profile

Probability management's mission is to advance unambiguous standards for communicating and managing uncertainties as data. The goal is to increase transparency and consistency in reporting and calculating with uncertainties in areas as diverse as finance, energy, pharmaceuticals, banking, the ecomnomy, national defense and climate change. The resulting representation of uncertainties must be 1) actionable, in that uncertainties may be used directly in calculations of potential risks and reward across virtually all software platforms. 2) additive, in that uncertaines may be aggregated across the enterprise, and 3) auditable, in that data provenance is maintained with respect to accuracy and security.

3507 Ross RoadPalo Alto, CA 94303

probabilitymanagement.org

Siviq Scores

Precomputed percentiles relative to similar nonprofits. These scores are descriptive rather than judgmental.

Liabilities / Assets

77th percentile

0.08x

Higher debt load relative to assets than 77% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2024

Liabilities / Revenue

71st percentile

0.02x

Higher debt load relative to revenue than 71% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2024

Net Margin

57th percentile

5.6%

Higher net margin than 57% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2024

Top Officer Pay

Score unavailable

No value available

No filing with officer rows is available for this organization yet.

Asset Growth

61st percentile

4.4%

Faster asset growth than 61% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Annualized from 2022 to 2024

Revenue Growth

24th percentile

-31%

Faster revenue growth than 24% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Annualized from 2022 to 2024

Balance Sheet
Liabilities / Assets77th percentile

Assets

Up

$18,469

Up $6,658 (+56%) from 2023

Liabilities

Up

$1,429

Up $1,429 from 2023

Net Assets

Up

$17,040

Up $5,229 (+44%) from 2023

Operations
Liabilities / Revenue71st percentileNet Margin57th percentile

Revenue

Down

$93,319

Down $97,897 (-51%) from 2023

Expenses

Down

$88,090

Down $108,272 (-55%) from 2023

Net Income

Up

$5,229

Up $10,375 (+202%) from 2023

Trend Graphs

Balance Sheet Trend

Asset Growth61st percentile

Grouped bars show assets, liabilities, and net assets across loaded filings.

$100K$50K$0Assets 2013: $37,474Liabilities 2013: $0Net Assets 2013: $37,4742013Assets 2014: $38,124Liabilities 2014: $0Net Assets 2014: $38,1242014Assets 2015: $46,123Liabilities 2015: $0Net Assets 2015: $46,1232015Assets 2016: $24,201Liabilities 2016: $0Net Assets 2016: $24,2012016Assets 2017: $34,102Liabilities 2017: $0Net Assets 2017: $34,1022017Assets 2018: $66,890Liabilities 2018: $0Net Assets 2018: $66,8902018Assets 2019: $68,938Liabilities 2019: $0Net Assets 2019: $68,9382019Assets 2020: $88,717Liabilities 2020: $0Net Assets 2020: $88,7172020Assets 2021: $64,405Liabilities 2021: $0Net Assets 2021: $64,4052021Assets 2022: $16,957Liabilities 2022: $0Net Assets 2022: $16,9572022Assets 2023: $11,811Liabilities 2023: $0Net Assets 2023: $11,8112023Assets 2024: $18,469Liabilities 2024: $1,429Net Assets 2024: $17,0402024

Highlighted filing

2024

Assets$18,469
Liabilities$1,429
Net Assets$17,040
Open 2024 Filing

Operations Trend

Revenue Growth24th percentile

Revenue, expenses, and net income by year, with the latest filing highlighted.

$300K$200K$100K$0-$100KRevenue 2013: $55,137Expenses 2013: $26,799Net Income 2013: $28,3382013Revenue 2014: $106,058Expenses 2014: $105,408Net Income 2014: $6502014Revenue 2015: $183,379Expenses 2015: $175,380Net Income 2015: $7,9992015Revenue 2016: $108,068Expenses 2016: $129,990Net Income 2016: -$21,9222016Revenue 2017: $113,592Expenses 2017: $103,691Net Income 2017: $9,9012017Revenue 2018: $173,789Expenses 2018: $141,001Net Income 2018: $32,7882018Revenue 2019: $223,811Expenses 2019: $221,763Net Income 2019: $2,0482019Revenue 2020: $268,448Expenses 2020: $248,669Net Income 2020: $19,7792020Revenue 2021: $261,593Expenses 2021: $285,905Net Income 2021: -$24,3122021Revenue 2022: $198,305Expenses 2022: $245,753Net Income 2022: -$47,4482022Revenue 2023: $191,216Expenses 2023: $196,362Net Income 2023: -$5,1462023Revenue 2024: $93,319Expenses 2024: $88,090Net Income 2024: $5,2292024

Highlighted filing

2024

Revenue$93,319
Expenses$88,090
Net Income$5,229
Open 2024 Filing

Filings

Most recent year

2024 • Form 990XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.

Open filing
Assets
$18,469
Liabilities
$1,429
Net assets
$17,040
Revenue
$93,319
Expenses
$88,090
Net income
$5,229
Balance SheetOperations
YearAssetsLiabilitiesNet AssetsRevenueExpensesNet Income
2024XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$0.18$0.01$0.17$0.93$0.88$0.05
2023XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$0.12$0.00$0.12$1.91$1.96$0.05
2022Facts available. Structured filing facts are available, but richer extracted sections are limited.$0.17$0.00$0.17$1.98$2.46$0.47
2021Facts available. Structured filing facts are available, but richer extracted sections are limited.$0.64$0.00$0.64$2.62$2.86$0.24
2020XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$0.89$0.00$0.89$2.68$2.49$0.20
2019Facts available. Structured filing facts are available, but richer extracted sections are limited.$0.69$0.00$0.69$2.24$2.22$0.02
2018XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$0.67$0.00$0.67$1.74$1.41$0.33
2017XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$0.34$0.00$0.34$1.14$1.04$0.10
2016XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$0.24$0.00$0.24$1.08$1.30$0.22
2015Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$0.46$0.00$0.46$1.83$1.75$0.08
2014Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$0.38$0.00$0.38$1.06$1.05$0.01
2013Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$0.37$0.00$0.37$0.55$0.27$0.28
Latest Detailed Filing

The latest 2024 filing currently has linked XML that has not been fully parsed yet. Showing the latest detailed filing from 2022 below.

Jump To
Filing Snapshot
Filing Period
Jan 1, 2022 to Dec 31, 2022
Signed
Nov 13, 2023
Return Version
2022v5.0
Gross Receipts
$198,305
Mission and Program Overview

Mission

Probability management's mission is to advance unambiguous standards for communicating and managing uncertainties as data. The goal is to increase transparency and consistency in reporting and calculating with uncertainties in areas as diverse as finance, energy, pharmaceuticals, banking, the ecomnomy, national defense and climate change. The resulting representation of uncertainties must be 1) actionable, in that uncertainties may be used directly in calculations of potential risks and reward across virtually all software platforms. 2) additive, in that uncertaines may be aggregated across the enterprise, and 3) auditable, in that data provenance is maintained with respect to accuracy and security.

Probability managment's mission is to advance unambiguous standards for communicating and managing uncertainties as data. The goal is to increase transparency and consistency in reporting and calculating with uncertainties in areas as diverse as finance, energy, pharmaceuticals, banking, the economy, national defense and climate change.

Balance Sheet Detail
LineBeginningEndChange
Assets
Cash and Non-Interest-Bearing Accounts$64,405$16,957▼ $47,448
Rtn Earn Endowment Incm Other Fnds$64,405$16,957▼ $47,448
Land, Buildings, and Equipment, Net$0$0→ $0
Pd in Cap Srpls Land Bldg Eqp Fund$0$0→ $0
Cap Stk Tr Prin Current Funds$0$0→ $0
Total Assets$64,405$16,957▼ $47,448
Liabilities
Total Liabilities$0$0→ $0
Net Assets / Fund Balance
Total Net Assets Fund Balance$64,405$16,957▼ $47,448
Total Liabilities and Net Assets / Fund Balance$64,405$16,957▼ $47,448

Asset Categories

AssetBook ValueDepreciationBasis
Equipment$0$9,913$9,913
Compensation and Service Providers
Top Officer PayScore unavailable

Employees

NameTitleFull / Part TimeBaseTotal
Sam SavageExecutive DirectorFT$41,583$41,583
June KleinCFO-$1,440$1,440

Board Members and Trustees

NameTitle
Michelle HyndmanAssociate Director
Deborah GordonDirector
Revenue and Support

Revenue Composition

Contributions and Grants
$22,225
Program Service Revenue
$176,080
Investment Income
$0
Other Revenue
$0
All Other Contributions
$22,225
Change in Net Assets
$-47,448
Expenses and Functional Allocation

Major Expense Lines

Line ItemAmount
Salaries, Compensation, and Employee Benefits$173,296
Other Expenses$72,457
Grants and Similar Amounts Paid$0
Professional Fundraising Fees$0
Total Fundraising Expense$0

Functional Expense Allocation

Line ItemProgramManagementFundraisingTotal
Other Salaries and Wages$118,408--$118,408
Fees for Services Other$51,658--$51,658
Current Officers, Directors, Trustees, and Key Employees$41,583--$41,583
Payroll Taxes$13,305--$13,305
Travel$6,116--$6,116
Information Technology$5,989--$5,989
Insurance$5,810--$5,810
Office Expenses-$533-$533
Other Expenses$320--$320
Total Functional Expenses$245,220$533$0$245,753
Fundraising, Events, and Gaming
Fundraising activities
No
Gaming activities
No
Professional fundraiser used
No

Fundraising and Gaming Totals

Line ItemAmount
Professional Fundraising Fees$0
Political and Lobbying Activity
Political campaign activity
No
Lobbying activity
No
Subject to proxy tax
No
Governance and Compliance

Governance Checklist

Compiled or reviewed by an accountant
No
Backup withholding compliance
Yes
Business relationship with 35% controlled entity
No
Business relationship with family members
No
Business relationship with organization members
No
Material changes to governing documents
No
Compensation from other sources disclosed
No
CEO compensation reviewed
No
Other officer compensation reviewed
No
Conflict-of-interest policy
No
Audited financial statements prepared
No
Key decisions subject to board approval
No
Management duties delegated
No

Governance Explanations

Form 990, Part VI, Section A, Line 8B

“There are no committees with authority to act on the behalf of probability management, inc.”

Form 990, Part VI, Section B, Line 11B

“Probability management, inc. Provides a copy of the tax return to the board of directors for review before form 990 is filed.”

Form 990, Part VI, Section C, Line 18

“Probability management, inc. Makes its governing documents and financial statements available to the public upon request.”

Form 990, Part VI, Section C, Line 19

“Probability management, inc. Makes its governing documents and financial statements available to the public upon request.”

Filing and Contact Details

Filer

Filer Name
Probability Management Inc
EIN
46-0572110
Phone
6505206255
Address
3507 ROSS ROAD, PALO ALTO, CA 94303

Signing Officer

Name
Sam Savage
Title
Executive Director
Phone
6505206255
Signed
2023-11-13
Discuss with paid preparer
Yes

Organization Details

Principal Officer
Sam Savage
Formed
2012
Legal Domicile
CA
Voting Board Members
3
Independent Board Members
3
Employees
9
Volunteers
14

Preparer

Firm
MACIAS GINI & O'CONNELL LLP
Address
2570 W EL CAMINO REAL 150, MOUNTAIN VIEW, CA 94040
Preparer
Fern Amaral
Phone
6502091800
Supplemental Narrative

Additional Explanations

Form 990, Part IX, Line 11G

“Independent contractors: program service expenses 51,658. Management and general expenses 0. Fundraising expenses 0. Total expenses 51,658.”

Raw XML Appendix349 raw XML fields

This appendix keeps the raw XML leaves available for debugging and edge-case review. The human report above is the primary experience.

Path#Value
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IRS990/ActivitiesConductedPrtshpInd00
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IRS990/AllOtherContributionsAmt022225
IRS990/BackupWthldComplianceInd01
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IRS990/BooksInCareOfDetail/PhoneNum06505206255
IRS990/BooksInCareOfDetail/USAddress/AddressLine1Txt03507 ROSS ROAD
IRS990/BooksInCareOfDetail/USAddress/CityNm0PALO ALTO
IRS990/BooksInCareOfDetail/USAddress/StateAbbreviationCd0CA
IRS990/BooksInCareOfDetail/USAddress/ZIPCd094303
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IRS990/CapStkTrPrinCurrentFundsGrp/BOYAmt00
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IRS990/CashNonInterestBearingGrp/BOYAmt064405
IRS990/CashNonInterestBearingGrp/EOYAmt016957
IRS990/ChangeToOrgDocumentsInd00
IRS990/CntrctRcvdGreaterThan100KCnt00
IRS990/CollectionsOfArtInd00
IRS990/CompCurrentOfcrDirectorsGrp/ProgramServicesAmt041583
IRS990/CompCurrentOfcrDirectorsGrp/TotalAmt041583
IRS990/CompensationFromOtherSrcsInd00
IRS990/CompensationProcessCEOInd00
IRS990/CompensationProcessOtherInd00
IRS990/ConflictOfInterestPolicyInd00
IRS990/ConservationEasementsInd00
IRS990/ConsolidatedAuditFinclStmtInd00
IRS990/CreditCounselingInd00
IRS990/CYBenefitsPaidToMembersAmt00
IRS990/CYContributionsGrantsAmt022225
IRS990/CYGrantsAndSimilarPaidAmt00
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IRS990/CYTotalProfFndrsngExpnsAmt00
IRS990/CYTotalRevenueAmt0198305
IRS990/DecisionsSubjectToApprovaInd00
IRS990/DeductibleArtContributionInd00
IRS990/DeductibleNonCashContriInd00
IRS990/DelegationOfMgmtDutiesInd00
IRS990/Desc0PROBABILITY MANAGMENT'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE UNAMBIGUOUS STANDARDS FOR COMMUNICATING AND MANAGING UNCERTAINTIES AS DATA. THE GOAL IS TO INCREASE TRANSPARENCY AND CONSISTENCY IN REPORTING AND CALCULATING WITH UNCERTAINTIES IN AREAS AS DIVERSE AS FINANCE, ENERGY, PHARMACEUTICALS, BANKING, THE ECONOMY, NATIONAL DEFENSE AND CLIMATE CHANGE.
IRS990/DescribedInSection501c3Ind01
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IRS990/FamilyOrBusinessRlnInd00
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IRS990/FeesForServicesOtherGrp/TotalAmt051658
IRS990/ForeignActivitiesInd00
IRS990/ForeignFinancialAccountInd00
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IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/AverageHoursPerWeekRt040.00
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/AverageHoursPerWeekRt10.00
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IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/IndividualTrusteeOrDirectorInd0X
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/IndividualTrusteeOrDirectorInd1X
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/IndividualTrusteeOrDirectorInd2X
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/OfficerInd0X
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/OfficerInd1X
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/OfficerInd2X
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/OtherCompensationAmt00
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/OtherCompensationAmt10
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/OtherCompensationAmt20
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/OtherCompensationAmt30
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/PersonNm0SAM SAVAGE
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/PersonNm1MICHELLE HYNDMAN
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/PersonNm2DEBORAH GORDON
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/PersonNm3JUNE KLEIN
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/ReportableCompFromOrgAmt041583
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/ReportableCompFromOrgAmt10
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/ReportableCompFromOrgAmt20
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/ReportableCompFromOrgAmt31440
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/ReportableCompFromRltdOrgAmt00
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/ReportableCompFromRltdOrgAmt10
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/ReportableCompFromRltdOrgAmt20
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/ReportableCompFromRltdOrgAmt30
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/TitleTxt0EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/TitleTxt1ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/TitleTxt2DIRECTOR
IRS990/Form990PartVIISectionAGrp/TitleTxt3CFO
IRS990/Form990ProvidedToGvrnBodyInd01
IRS990/FormationYr02012
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IRS990/FSAuditedInd00
IRS990/FundraisingActivitiesInd00
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IRS990/GoverningBodyVotingMembersCnt03
IRS990/GrantsToIndividualsInd00
IRS990/GrantsToOrganizationsInd00
IRS990/GrantToRelatedPersonInd00
IRS990/GrossReceiptsAmt0198305
IRS990/GroupReturnForAffiliatesInd00
IRS990/IncludeFIN48FootnoteInd00
IRS990/IndependentAuditFinclStmtInd00
IRS990/IndependentVotingMemberCnt03
IRS990/IndivRcvdGreaterThan100KCnt00
IRS990/IndoorTanningServicesInd00
IRS990/InfoInScheduleOPartIIIInd0X
IRS990/InfoInScheduleOPartIXInd0X
IRS990/InfoInScheduleOPartVIInd0X
IRS990/InformationTechnologyGrp/ProgramServicesAmt05989
IRS990/InformationTechnologyGrp/TotalAmt05989
IRS990/InsuranceGrp/ProgramServicesAmt05810
IRS990/InsuranceGrp/TotalAmt05810
IRS990/InvestmentInJointVentureInd00
IRS990/IRPDocumentCnt05
IRS990/IRPDocumentW2GCnt00
IRS990/LandBldgEquipAccumDeprecAmt09913
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IRS990/LoanOutstandingInd00
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IRS990/MinutesOfCommitteesInd00
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IRS990/MissionDesc0PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE UNAMBIGUOUS STANDARDS FOR COMMUNICATING AND MANAGING UNCERTAINTIES AS DATA. THE GOAL IS TO INCREASE TRANSPARENCY AND CONSISTENCY IN REPORTING AND CALCULATING WITH UNCERTAINTIES IN AREAS AS DIVERSE AS FINANCE, ENERGY, PHARMACEUTICALS, BANKING, THE ECONOMY, NATIONAL DEFENSE AND CLIMATE CHANGE. THE RESULTING REPRESENTATION OF UNCERTAINTIES MUST BE 1) ACTIONABLE, IN THAT UNCERTAINTIES MAY BE USED DIRECTLY IN CALCULATIONS OF POTENTIAL RISKS AND REWARD ACROSS VIRTUALLY ALL SOFTWARE PLATFORMS. 2) ADDITIVE, IN THAT UNCERTAINTIES MAY BE AGGREGATED ACROSS THE ENTERPRISE, AND 3) AUDITABLE, IN THAT DATA PROVENANCE IS MAINTAINED WITH RESPECT TO ACCURACY AND SECURITY.
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IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeAndUBTIGrp/TotalAmt08
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeCYPct00.00000
IRS990ScheduleA/PubliclySupportedOrg509a2Ind0X
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IRS990ScheduleA/PublicSupportPY509Pct01.00000
IRS990ScheduleA/PublicSupportTotal509Amt01125935
IRS990ScheduleA/SubstAndDsqlfyPrsnsTotGrp/TotalAmt00
IRS990ScheduleA/SubstantialContributorsAmtGrp/TotalAmt00
IRS990ScheduleA/ThirtyThrPctSuprtTestsCY509Ind0X
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearAmt0198305
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus1YearAmt0261592
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus2YearsAmt0268445
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus3YearsAmt0223807
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus4YearsAmt0173786
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/TotalAmt01125935
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearAmt0198305
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus1YearAmt0261593
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus2YearsAmt0268448
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus3YearsAmt0223811
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus4YearsAmt0173786
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/TotalAmt01125943
IRS990ScheduleB/ContributorInformationGrp/ContributorBusinessName/BusinessNameLine10RESTRICTED
IRS990ScheduleB/ContributorInformationGrp/ContributorNum0RESTRICTED
IRS990ScheduleB/ContributorInformationGrp/ContributorUSAddress/AddressLine10RESTRICTED
IRS990ScheduleB/ContributorInformationGrp/ContributorUSAddress/AddressLine20RESTRICTED
IRS990ScheduleB/ContributorInformationGrp/ContributorUSAddress/City0RESTRICTED
IRS990ScheduleB/ContributorInformationGrp/ContributorUSAddress/State0RESTRICTED
IRS990ScheduleB/ContributorInformationGrp/ContributorUSAddress/ZIPCode0RESTRICTED
IRS990ScheduleB/ContributorInformationGrp/TotalContributionsAmt0RESTRICTED
IRS990/ScheduleBRequiredInd01
IRS990ScheduleD/EquipmentGrp/BookValueAmt00
IRS990ScheduleD/EquipmentGrp/DepreciationAmt09913
IRS990ScheduleD/EquipmentGrp/OtherCostOrOtherBasisAmt09913
IRS990ScheduleD/TotalBookValueLandBuildingsAmt00
IRS990/ScheduleJRequiredInd00
IRS990/ScheduleORequiredInd01
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt0THERE ARE NO COMMITTEES WITH AUTHORITY TO ACT ON THE BEHALF OF PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT, INC.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt1PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT, INC. PROVIDES A COPY OF THE TAX RETURN TO THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS FOR REVIEW BEFORE FORM 990 IS FILED.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt2PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT, INC. MAKES ITS GOVERNING DOCUMENTS AND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AVAILABLE TO THE PUBLIC UPON REQUEST.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt3PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT, INC. MAKES ITS GOVERNING DOCUMENTS AND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AVAILABLE TO THE PUBLIC UPON REQUEST.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt4INDEPENDENT CONTRACTORS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 51,658. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 0. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 51,658.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc0FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION A, LINE 8B
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc1FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION B, LINE 11B
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc2FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION C, LINE 18
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc3FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION C, LINE 19
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc4FORM 990, PART IX, LINE 11G
IRS990/SchoolOperatingInd00
IRS990/SignificantChangeInd00
IRS990/SignificantNewProgramSrvcInd00
IRS990/StatesWhereCopyOfReturnIsFldCd0CA
IRS990/SubjectToExcsTaxNetInvstIncInd00
IRS990/SubjectToProxyTaxInd00
IRS990/SubjToTaxRmnrtnExPrchtPymtInd00
IRS990/TaxablePartyNotificationInd00
IRS990/TaxExemptBondsInd00
IRS990/TerminateOperationsInd00
IRS990/TotalAssetsBOYAmt064405
IRS990/TotalAssetsEOYAmt016957
IRS990/TotalAssetsGrp/BOYAmt064405
IRS990/TotalAssetsGrp/EOYAmt016957
IRS990/TotalCompGreaterThan150KInd00
IRS990/TotalContributionsAmt022225
IRS990/TotalEmployeeCnt09
IRS990/TotalFunctionalExpensesGrp/FundraisingAmt00
IRS990/TotalFunctionalExpensesGrp/ManagementAndGeneralAmt0533
IRS990/TotalFunctionalExpensesGrp/ProgramServicesAmt0245220
IRS990/TotalFunctionalExpensesGrp/TotalAmt0245753
IRS990/TotalGrossUBIAmt00
IRS990/TotalLiabilitiesBOYAmt00
IRS990/TotalLiabilitiesEOYAmt00
IRS990/TotalLiabilitiesGrp/BOYAmt00
IRS990/TotalLiabilitiesGrp/EOYAmt00
IRS990/TotalNetAssetsFundBalanceGrp/BOYAmt064405
IRS990/TotalNetAssetsFundBalanceGrp/EOYAmt016957
IRS990/TotalOtherCompensationAmt00
IRS990/TotalProgramServiceExpensesAmt0245220
IRS990/TotalProgramServiceRevenueAmt0176080
IRS990/TotalReportableCompFromOrgAmt043023
IRS990/TotalRevenueGrp/ExclusionAmt00
IRS990/TotalRevenueGrp/RelatedOrExemptFuncIncomeAmt0176080
IRS990/TotalRevenueGrp/TotalRevenueColumnAmt0198305
IRS990/TotalRevenueGrp/UnrelatedBusinessRevenueAmt00
IRS990/TotalVolunteersCnt014
IRS990/TotLiabNetAssetsFundBalanceGrp/BOYAmt064405
IRS990/TotLiabNetAssetsFundBalanceGrp/EOYAmt016957
IRS990/TotReportableCompRltdOrgAmt00
IRS990/TravelGrp/ProgramServicesAmt06116
IRS990/TravelGrp/TotalAmt06116
IRS990/TrnsfrExmptNonChrtblRltdOrgInd00
IRS990/TypeOfOrganizationCorpInd0X
IRS990/UnrelatedBusIncmOverLimitInd00
IRS990/UponRequestInd0X
IRS990/USAddress/AddressLine1Txt03507 ROSS ROAD
IRS990/USAddress/CityNm0PALO ALTO
IRS990/USAddress/StateAbbreviationCd0CA
IRS990/USAddress/ZIPCd094303
IRS990/VotingMembersGoverningBodyCnt03
IRS990/VotingMembersIndependentCnt03
IRS990/WebsiteAddressTxt0PROBABILITYMANAGEMENT.ORG
IRS990/WhistleblowerPolicyInd00
ReturnHeader/AdditionalFilerInformation/TrustedCustomerGrp/AuthenticationAssuranceLevelCd0AAL1
ReturnHeader/AdditionalFilerInformation/TrustedCustomerGrp/IdentityAssuranceLevelCd0IAL1
ReturnHeader/AdditionalFilerInformation/TrustedCustomerGrp/TrustedCustomerCd03
ReturnHeader/BuildTS02023-04-26 12:10:37Z
ReturnHeader/BusinessOfficerGrp/DiscussWithPaidPreparerInd01
ReturnHeader/BusinessOfficerGrp/PersonNm0SAM SAVAGE
ReturnHeader/BusinessOfficerGrp/PersonTitleTxt0EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
ReturnHeader/BusinessOfficerGrp/PhoneNum06505206255
ReturnHeader/BusinessOfficerGrp/SignatureDt02023-11-13
ReturnHeader/Filer/BusinessName/BusinessNameLine1Txt0PROBABILITY MANAGEMENT INC
ReturnHeader/Filer/BusinessNameControlTxt0PROB
ReturnHeader/Filer/EIN0460572110
ReturnHeader/Filer/PhoneNum06505206255
ReturnHeader/Filer/USAddress/AddressLine1Txt03507 ROSS ROAD
ReturnHeader/Filer/USAddress/CityNm0PALO ALTO
ReturnHeader/Filer/USAddress/StateAbbreviationCd0CA
ReturnHeader/Filer/USAddress/ZIPCd094303
ReturnHeader/IRSResponsiblePrtyInfoCurrInd01
ReturnHeader/PreparerFirmGrp/PreparerFirmEIN0680300457
ReturnHeader/PreparerFirmGrp/PreparerFirmName/BusinessNameLine1Txt0MACIAS GINI & O'CONNELL LLP
ReturnHeader/PreparerFirmGrp/PreparerUSAddress/AddressLine1Txt02570 W EL CAMINO REAL 150
ReturnHeader/PreparerFirmGrp/PreparerUSAddress/CityNm0MOUNTAIN VIEW
ReturnHeader/PreparerFirmGrp/PreparerUSAddress/StateAbbreviationCd0CA
ReturnHeader/PreparerFirmGrp/PreparerUSAddress/ZIPCd094040
ReturnHeader/PreparerPersonGrp/PhoneNum06502091800
ReturnHeader/PreparerPersonGrp/PreparerPersonNm0FERN AMARAL
ReturnHeader/ReturnTs02023-11-15T16:10:49-06:00
ReturnHeader/ReturnTypeCd0990
ReturnHeader/SigningOfficerGrp/PersonFullName/PersonFirstNm0SAM
ReturnHeader/SigningOfficerGrp/PersonFullName/PersonLastNm0SAVAGE
ReturnHeader/TaxPeriodBeginDt02022-01-01
ReturnHeader/TaxPeriodEndDt02022-12-31
ReturnHeader/TaxYr02022

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