Civic Intelligence

Quantified Uncertainty Research Inst

EIN 84-3847921 • 501(c)3 • Berkeley, CA

Profile

To advance forecasting and epistemics for the aim of improving the long-term future of humanity.

2418 Dana StBerkeley, CA 94704

quantifieduncertainty.org

Siviq Scores

Precomputed percentiles relative to similar nonprofits. These scores are descriptive rather than judgmental.

Liabilities / Assets

68th percentile

0.01x

Higher debt load relative to assets than 68% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2024

Liabilities / Revenue

71st percentile

0.01x

Higher debt load relative to revenue than 71% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2024

Net Margin

6th percentile

-224%

Higher net margin than 6% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2024

Top Officer Pay

81st percentile

$0

Higher top officer pay than 81% of similar nonprofits.

Top officer pay equals 0.0% of source-year revenue.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2024

Asset Growth

16th percentile

-67%

Faster asset growth than 16% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Annualized from 2023 to 2024

Revenue Growth

100th percentile

5999%

Faster revenue growth than 100% of similar nonprofits.

501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Annualized from 2023 to 2024

Balance Sheet
Liabilities / Assets68th percentile

Assets

Down

$100,315

Down $203,682 (-67%) from 2023

Liabilities

$1,344

No earlier filing loaded for comparison.

Net Assets

Down

$98,971

Down $205,026 (-67%) from 2023

Operations
Liabilities / Revenue71st percentileNet Margin6th percentile

Revenue

Up

$91,362

Up $89,864 (+5999%) from 2023

Expenses

Up

$296,388

Up $17,526 (+6.3%) from 2023

Net Income

Up

-$205,026

Up $72,338 (+26%) from 2023

Trend Graphs

Balance Sheet Trend

Asset Growth16th percentile

Grouped bars show assets, liabilities, and net assets across loaded filings.

$600K$400K$200K$0Assets 2020: $269,646Liabilities 2020: $0Net Assets 2020: $269,6462020Assets 2021: $186,878Net Assets 2021: $186,8782021Assets 2022: $581,361Liabilities 2022: $0Net Assets 2022: $581,3612022Assets 2023: $303,997Net Assets 2023: $303,9972023Assets 2024: $100,315Liabilities 2024: $1,344Net Assets 2024: $98,9712024

Highlighted filing

2024

Assets$100,315
Liabilities$1,344
Net Assets$98,971
Open 2024 Filing

Operations Trend

Revenue Growth100th percentile

Revenue, expenses, and net income by year, with the latest filing highlighted.

$1.0M$500K$0-$500KRevenue 2020: $290,538Expenses 2020: $20,892Net Income 2020: $269,6462020Revenue 2021: $2,463Expenses 2021: $85,231Net Income 2021: -$82,7682021Revenue 2022: $679,300Expenses 2022: $284,817Net Income 2022: $394,4832022Revenue 2023: $1,498Expenses 2023: $278,862Net Income 2023: -$277,3642023Revenue 2024: $91,362Expenses 2024: $296,388Net Income 2024: -$205,0262024

Highlighted filing

2024

Revenue$91,362
Expenses$296,388
Net Income-$205,026
Open 2024 Filing

Filings

Most recent year

2024 • Form 990EZDetailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.

Open filing
Assets
$100,315
Liabilities
$1,344
Net assets
$98,971
Revenue
$91,362
Expenses
$296,388
Net income
-$205,026
Balance SheetOperations
YearAssetsLiabilitiesNet AssetsRevenueExpensesNet Income
2024Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$1.00$0.01$0.99$0.91$2.96$2.05
2023Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$3.04$3.04$0.01$2.79$2.77
2022Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$5.81$0.00$5.81$6.79$2.85$3.94
2021Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$1.87$1.87$0.02$0.85$0.83
2020Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$2.70$0.00$2.70$2.91$0.21$2.70
Latest Filing Detail
Jump To
Filing Snapshot
Filing Period
Jan 1, 2024 to Dec 31, 2024
Signed
Oct 28, 2025
Return Version
2024v5.2
Gross Receipts
$91,362
Mission and Program Overview

Mission

To advance forecasting and epistemics for the aim of improving the long-term future of humanity.

Program Services

DescriptionGrantsExpenses
QURI researches systematic practices to specify and estimate the most important parameters for the most important or scalable decisions. Research areas include forecasting, epistemics, evaluations, ontology, and estimation. In 2024, the organization launched Squiggle AI, a tool that uses LLMs to write Fermi estimates and cost-effectiveness analyses. The organization supported several research pieces on AI and epistemology, and gave multiple workshops and presentations about QURI tools and research.-$84,219
Compensation and Service Providers
Top Officer Pay81st percentile

Employees

NameTitleFull / Part TimeBaseOtherTotal
Ozzie GooenPresident-$0--
Ben GoldhaberTreasurer-$0--
Andrew CritchSecretary-$0--
Filing and Contact Details

Filer

Filer Name
Quantified Uncertainty Research Inst
EIN
84-3847921
Phone
2697296104
Address
2418 Dana St, Berkeley, CA 94704

Signing Officer

Name
Ozzie Gooen
Title
President
Signed
2025-10-28
Discuss with paid preparer
Yes

Preparer

Firm
Elizabeth K Steppe
Address
317 Morningside Dr SE, Albuquerque, NM 87108
Preparer
Elizabeth K Steppe CPA
Phone
5103750648
Supplemental Narrative

Additional Explanations

Other Revenue.1

“Credit Card rewards $126”

Other Expenses.1002

“Office Expenses $166”

Other Expenses.1003

“Information Technology $9752”

Other Expenses.1005

“Travel $168”

Other Expenses.1007

“Conferences, Conventions, and Meetings $230”

Other Expenses.1

“Legal settlement $200000”

Other Expenses.2

“Fiscal Sponsor Fee $9301”

Other Expenses.3

“Other $284”

Other Expenses.4

“Bank Fees $35”

Total Liabilities.1001

“Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses - Beginning $0 Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses - Ending $1344”

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This appendix keeps the raw XML leaves available for debugging and edge-case review. The human report above is the primary experience.

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ReturnHeader/BuildTS02025-03-06 01:10:19Z
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