Civic Intelligence

Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute

990 • Fiscal year 2020 • EIN 84-3847921

Jan 01, 2020 to Dec 31, 2020 • Filed on May 13, 2021

1917 Martin Luther King Jr WayBerkeley, CA 94704

(269) 729-6104

Siviq Scores

Precomputed percentiles for this filing year versus similar nonprofits in the same peer cohort.

Liabilities / Assets

55th percentile

0.00x

Tied with the lowest-debt nonprofits in its peer group.

2020 filings • 501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2020

Liabilities / Revenue

55th percentile

0.00x

Tied with the lowest-debt nonprofits in its peer group.

2020 filings • 501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2020

Net Margin

98th percentile

93%

Higher net margin than 98% of similar nonprofits.

2020 filings • 501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2020

Top Officer Pay

76th percentile

$0

Higher top officer pay than 76% of similar nonprofits.

Top officer pay equals 0.0% of source-year revenue.

2020 filings • 501(c)3 • <$500k nonprofits • Source year 2020

Asset Growth

Score unavailable

No value available

No earlier valid filing was available within the previous three public years.

Source year 2020

Revenue Growth

Score unavailable

No value available

No earlier valid filing was available within the previous three public years.

Source year 2020

Assets

$269,646

No earlier filing loaded for comparison.

Net Assets

$269,646

No earlier filing loaded for comparison.

Liabilities

$0

No earlier filing loaded for comparison.

Revenue

$290,538

No earlier filing loaded for comparison.

Expenses

$20,892

No earlier filing loaded for comparison.

Net Income

$269,646

No earlier filing loaded for comparison.

Historical Trend

Balance Sheet Trend

The highlighted filing sits inside the broader history for assets, liabilities, and net assets.

$600K$400K$200K$0Assets 2020: $269,646Liabilities 2020: $0Net Assets 2020: $269,6462020Assets 2021: $186,878Net Assets 2021: $186,8782021Assets 2022: $581,361Liabilities 2022: $0Net Assets 2022: $581,3612022Assets 2023: $303,997Net Assets 2023: $303,9972023Assets 2024: $100,315Liabilities 2024: $1,344Net Assets 2024: $98,9712024

Highlighted filing

2020

Assets$269,646
Liabilities$0
Net Assets$269,646

Operations Trend

Revenue, expenses, and net income across loaded years, with this filing highlighted.

$1.0M$500K$0-$500KRevenue 2020: $290,538Expenses 2020: $20,892Net Income 2020: $269,6462020Revenue 2021: $2,463Expenses 2021: $85,231Net Income 2021: -$82,7682021Revenue 2022: $679,300Expenses 2022: $284,817Net Income 2022: $394,4832022Revenue 2023: $1,498Expenses 2023: $278,862Net Income 2023: -$277,3642023Revenue 2024: $91,362Expenses 2024: $296,388Net Income 2024: -$205,0262024

Highlighted filing

2020

Revenue$290,538
Expenses$20,892
Net Income$269,646
Jump To
Filing Snapshot
Filing Period
Jan 1, 2020 to Dec 31, 2020
Signed
May 13, 2021
Return Version
2020v4.0
Gross Receipts
$290,538
Mission and Program Overview

Mission

To advance forecasting and epistemics for the aim of improving the long-term future of humanity.

Balance Sheet Detail
LineBeginningEndChange
Assets
Cash and Non-Interest-Bearing Accounts-$269,646-
Savings and Temporary Cash Investments-$0-
Accounts Receivable-$0-
Other Notes and Loans Receivable, Net-$0-
Pledges and Grants Receivable-$0-
Receivable From Disqualified Prsn-$0-
Receivables From Officers Etc-$0-
Investments Other Securities-$0-
Investments Program Related-$0-
Investments in Publicly Traded Securities-$0-
Land, Buildings, and Equipment, Net-$0-
Intangible Assets-$0-
Inventories for Sale or Use-$0-
Prepaid Expenses and Deferred Charges-$0-
Total Assets$0$269,646▲ $269,646
Other Assets Total-$0-
Liabilities
Total Liabilities$0$0→ $0
Net Assets / Fund Balance
Net Assets Without Donor Restrictions-$269,646-
Total Net Assets Fund Balance$0$269,646▲ $269,646
Total Liabilities and Net Assets / Fund Balance$0$269,646▲ $269,646
Compensation and Service Providers

Board Members and Trustees

NameTitle
Ozzie GooenPresident
Jacob LagerrosSecretary
Ben GoldhaberTreasurer
Revenue and Support

Revenue Composition

Contributions and Grants
$272,538
Program Service Revenue
$18,000
Investment Income
$0
Other Revenue
$0
All Other Contributions
$272,538
Change in Net Assets
$269,646
Expenses and Functional Allocation

Major Expense Lines

Line ItemAmount
Other Expenses$20,892
Grants and Similar Amounts Paid$0
Professional Fundraising Fees$0
Salaries, Compensation, and Employee Benefits$0
Total Fundraising Expense$0

Functional Expense Allocation

Line ItemProgramManagementFundraisingTotal
Fees for Services Other$16,573--$16,573
Fees for Services Management$4,054--$4,054
Other Expenses-$265-$265
Total Functional Expenses$20,627$265$0$20,892
Fundraising, Events, and Gaming
Fundraising activities
No
Gaming activities
No
Professional fundraiser used
No

Fundraising and Gaming Totals

Line ItemAmount
Professional Fundraising Fees$0
Political and Lobbying Activity
Political campaign activity
No
Lobbying activity
No
Subject to proxy tax
No
Insider Transactions and Loans

Loans and Receivables

Line ItemBeginningEndChange
Receivables from Disqualified Persons-$0-
Receivables from Officers, Directors, Trustees, and Key Employees-$0-
Governance and Compliance

Governance Checklist

Compiled or reviewed by an accountant
Yes
Audit committee
No
Backup withholding compliance
Yes
Business relationship with 35% controlled entity
No
Business relationship with family members
No
Business relationship with organization members
No
Material changes to governing documents
No
Compensation from other sources disclosed
No
CEO compensation reviewed
No
Other officer compensation reviewed
No
Conflict-of-interest policy
No
Audited financial statements prepared
No
Key decisions subject to board approval
No
Management duties delegated
No

Governance Explanations

Form 990, Part VI, Line 11B: Form 990 Review Process

An independent CPA prepares the return which is reviewed by the Board prior to filing.

Form 990, Part VI, Line 19: Other Organization Documents Publicly Available

The organization will provide a copy of its governing documents upon request.

Filing and Contact Details

Filer

Filer Name
Quantified Uncertainty Research Inst
EIN
84-3847921
Phone
2697296104
Address
1917 Martin Luther King Jr Way, Berkeley, CA 94704

Signing Officer

Name
Ozzie Gooen
Title
President
Signed
2021-05-13
Discuss with paid preparer
Yes

Organization Details

Principal Officer
Ozzie Gooen
Formed
2019
Legal Domicile
CA
Voting Board Members
3
Independent Board Members
3
Employees
0

Preparer

Firm
Elizabeth K Steppe
Address
317 Morningside Dr SE, Albuquerque, NM 87108
Preparer
Elizabeth K Steppe CPA
Phone
5103750648
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This appendix keeps the raw XML leaves available for debugging and edge-case review. The human report above is the primary experience.

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IRS990/Desc0QURI researches systematic practices to specify and estimate the most important parameters for the most important or scalable decisions. Research areas include forecasting, epistemics, evaluations, ontology, and estimation. In 2020, the organization did a mix of writing and software engineering. The organization published several blog posts about forecasting and related topics on the EA Forum and LessWrong. It made several improvements to the website Foretold.io and created an early version of Squiggle, a new programming language for use with probabilities.
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