Civic Intelligence

International Society for Bayesian Analysis

990 • Fiscal year 2018 • EIN 42-1517735

Jan 01, 2018 to Dec 31, 2018 • Filed on Jun 17, 2019

Organization Profilebaysian.org
909 Turner StreetBlacksburg, VA 24060

(773) 294-4950

Siviq Scores

Precomputed percentiles for this filing year versus similar nonprofits in the same peer cohort.

Liabilities / Assets

27th percentile

0.00x

Tied with the lowest-debt nonprofits in its peer group.

2018 filings • 501(c)3 • $500k-$1M nonprofits • Source year 2018

Liabilities / Revenue

27th percentile

0.00x

Tied with the lowest-debt nonprofits in its peer group.

2018 filings • 501(c)3 • $500k-$1M nonprofits • Source year 2018

Net Margin

80th percentile

24%

Higher net margin than 80% of similar nonprofits.

2018 filings • 501(c)3 • $500k-$1M nonprofits • Source year 2018

Top Officer Pay

50th percentile

$0

Higher top officer pay than 50% of similar nonprofits.

Top officer pay equals 0.0% of source-year revenue.

2018 filings • 501(c)3 • $500k-$1M nonprofits • Source year 2018

Asset Growth

84th percentile

32%

Faster asset growth than 84% of similar nonprofits.

2018 filings • 501(c)3 • $500k-$1M nonprofits • Annualized from 2017 to 2018

Revenue Growth

99th percentile

518%

Faster revenue growth than 99% of similar nonprofits.

2018 filings • 501(c)3 • $500k-$1M nonprofits • Annualized from 2017 to 2018

Balance Sheet
Liabilities / Assets27th percentile

Assets

Up

$499,718

Up $122,334 (+32%) from 2017

Net Assets

Up

$499,718

Up $122,334 (+32%) from 2017

Liabilities

Flat

$0

Flat from 2017

Revenue And Expenses
Liabilities / Revenue27th percentileNet Margin80th percentile

Revenue

Up

$509,508

Up $427,129 (+518%) from 2017

Expenses

Up

$387,174

Up $315,583 (+441%) from 2017

Net Income

Up

$122,334

Up $111,546 (+1034%) from 2017

Historical Trend

Balance Sheet Trend

Asset Growth84th percentile

The highlighted filing sits inside the broader history for assets, liabilities, and net assets.

$800K$600K$400K$200K$0Assets 2011: $267,206Liabilities 2011: $02011Assets 2012: $279,341Liabilities 2012: $02012Assets 2013: $392,372Liabilities 2013: $0Net Assets 2013: $392,3722013Assets 2014: $331,888Liabilities 2014: $0Net Assets 2014: $331,8882014Assets 2015: $356,077Liabilities 2015: $0Net Assets 2015: $356,0772015Assets 2016: $366,596Liabilities 2016: $0Net Assets 2016: $366,5962016Assets 2017: $377,384Liabilities 2017: $0Net Assets 2017: $377,3842017Assets 2018: $499,718Liabilities 2018: $0Net Assets 2018: $499,7182018Assets 2019: $589,595Liabilities 2019: $0Net Assets 2019: $589,5952019Assets 2020: $622,720Liabilities 2020: $0Net Assets 2020: $622,7202020Assets 2021: $710,970Liabilities 2021: $0Net Assets 2021: $710,9702021Assets 2022: $644,797Liabilities 2022: $0Net Assets 2022: $644,7972022Assets 2023: $668,004Liabilities 2023: $0Net Assets 2023: $668,0042023Assets 2024: $766,618Liabilities 2024: $0Net Assets 2024: $766,6182024

Highlighted filing

2018

Assets$499,718
Liabilities$0
Net Assets$499,718
Open 2018 Filing

Operations Trend

Revenue Growth99th percentile

Revenue, expenses, and net income across loaded years, with this filing highlighted.

$600K$400K$200K$0-$200KRevenue 2011: $81,578Expenses 2011: $62,996Net Income 2011: $18,5822011Revenue 2012: $133,838Expenses 2012: $110,164Net Income 2012: $23,6742012Revenue 2013: $220,195Expenses 2013: $107,164Net Income 2013: $113,0312013Revenue 2014: $428,092Expenses 2014: $488,576Net Income 2014: -$60,4842014Revenue 2015: $211,962Expenses 2015: $187,773Net Income 2015: $24,1892015Revenue 2016: $142,344Expenses 2016: $131,825Net Income 2016: $10,5192016Revenue 2017: $82,379Expenses 2017: $71,591Net Income 2017: $10,7882017Revenue 2018: $509,508Expenses 2018: $387,174Net Income 2018: $122,3342018Revenue 2019: $140,358Expenses 2019: $50,481Net Income 2019: $89,8772019Revenue 2020: $108,933Expenses 2020: $61,263Net Income 2020: $47,6702020Revenue 2021: $149,223Expenses 2021: $60,973Net Income 2021: $88,2502021Revenue 2022: $416,109Expenses 2022: $366,034Net Income 2022: $50,0752022Revenue 2023: $139,782Expenses 2023: $116,575Net Income 2023: $23,2072023Revenue 2024: $576,774Expenses 2024: $478,160Net Income 2024: $98,6142024

Highlighted filing

2018

Revenue$509,508
Expenses$387,174
Net Income$122,334
Open 2018 Filing
Jump To
Filing Snapshot
Filing Period
Jan 1, 2018 to Dec 31, 2018
Signed
Jun 17, 2019
Return Version
2018v3.1
Gross Receipts
$509,508
Mission and Program Overview

Mission

Promote the development and application

To promote the development and application of bayesian statistical methods by sponsoring and organizing meetings, publishing of a newsletter and journal, and sponsor academic awards and maintain a webpage conference organization.

Balance Sheet Detail
LineBeginningEndChange
Assets
Rtn Earn Endowment Incm Other Fnds$377,384$499,718▲ $122,334
Investments in Publicly Traded Securities$183,963$389,893▲ $205,930
Savings and Temporary Cash Investments$166,868$66,758▼ $100,110
Cash and Non-Interest-Bearing Accounts$26,553$43,067▲ $16,514
Total Assets$377,384$499,718▲ $122,334
Liabilities
Total Liabilities$0$0→ $0
Net Assets / Fund Balance
Total Net Assets Fund Balance$377,384$499,718▲ $122,334
Total Liabilities and Net Assets / Fund Balance$377,384$499,718▲ $122,334
Compensation and Service Providers
Top Officer Pay50th percentile

Board Members and Trustees

NameTitle
Kerrie MengersenPast President
Marina VannucciPresident
Raquel PradoPresident Elect
Abel RodriguezDirector
Alicia CarriquiryDirector
Catherine ForbesDirector
Feng LiangDirector
Luke TierneyDirector
Lurdes InoueDirector
Marc SuchardDirector
Michele GuindaniDirector
Natalia BochkinaDirector
Surya TokdarDirector
Luca TardellaDirectory
David BanksDiretor
Amy HerringExecutive Secretary
Robert GramacyTreasurer
Revenue and Support

Revenue Composition

Contributions and Grants
$37,644
Program Service Revenue
$458,452
Investment Income
$8,262
Other Revenue
$5,150
All Other Contributions
$25,163
Change in Net Assets
$122,334
Expenses and Functional Allocation

Major Expense Lines

Line ItemAmount
Other Expenses$368,834
Salaries, Compensation, and Employee Benefits$13,812
Grants and Similar Amounts Paid$4,528
Professional Fundraising Fees$0
Total Fundraising Expense$0

Functional Expense Allocation

Line ItemProgramManagementFundraisingTotal
Conferences and Meetings$184,003--$184,003
Travel$67,699--$67,699
Fees for Services Legal$58,343--$58,343
Other Salaries and Wages-$13,812-$13,812
Grants to Domestic Orgs$4,528--$4,528
Fees for Services Accounting$2,300--$2,300
Insurance$2,227--$2,227
Other Expenses$1,408--$1,408
Office Expenses-$123-$123
Total Functional Expenses$373,239$13,935$0$387,174
Fundraising, Events, and Gaming
Fundraising activities
No
Gaming activities
No
Professional fundraiser used
No

Fundraising and Gaming Totals

Line ItemAmount
Professional Fundraising Fees$0
Political and Lobbying Activity
Political campaign activity
No
Lobbying activity
No
Subject to proxy tax
No
Governance and Compliance

Governance Checklist

Compiled or reviewed by an accountant
No
Business relationship with family members
No
Business relationship with organization members
No
Material changes to governing documents
No
Compensation from other sources disclosed
No
CEO compensation reviewed
No
Other officer compensation reviewed
No
Conflict-of-interest policy
No
Audited financial statements prepared
No
Key decisions subject to board approval
Yes
Management duties delegated
No

Governance Explanations

Members or stockholder classes and rights Part VI line 6

“The organization is comprised of members.”

Member election for additional members Part VI line 7A

“The members elect the governing body.”

Governing body decisions Part VI line 7B

“Members vote on location of annual conference.”

Form 990 governing body review Part VI line 11

“Form 990 is reviewed by the treasurer.”

Governing documents etc available to public Part VI line 19

“All documents are available upon request.”

Filing and Contact Details

Filer

Filer Name
International Society for
EIN
42-1517735
Address
909 Turner Street, Blacksburg, VA 24060
Doing Business As
Bayesian Analytics

Signing Officer

Name
Robert Gramacy
Title
Treasurer
Phone
7732944950
Signed
2019-06-17
Discuss with paid preparer
Yes

Organization Details

Formed
1992
Legal Domicile
Va
Voting Board Members
17
Independent Board Members
17
Employees
0
Volunteers
30

Preparer

Firm
Quality Back Office
Address
600 S Washington St Ste 105, Naperville, IL 60540
Preparer
Gary Grottke CPA
Phone
6304280640
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IRS990/OtherExpensesGrp/TotalAmt31408
IRS990/OtherSalariesAndWagesGrp/ManagementAndGeneralAmt013812
IRS990/OtherSalariesAndWagesGrp/TotalAmt013812
IRS990/PartialLiquidationInd0false
IRS990/PayPremiumsPrsnlBnftCntrctInd0false
IRS990/PoliciesReferenceChaptersInd0true
IRS990/PoliticalCampaignActyInd0false
IRS990/ProfessionalFundraisingInd0false
IRS990/ProgramServiceRevenueGrp/BusinessCd0541700
IRS990/ProgramServiceRevenueGrp/Desc0Conference Fees
IRS990/ProgramServiceRevenueGrp/RelatedOrExemptFuncIncomeAmt0458452
IRS990/ProgramServiceRevenueGrp/TotalRevenueColumnAmt0458452
IRS990/ProhibitedTaxShelterTransInd0false
IRS990/PYContributionsGrantsAmt077960
IRS990/PYExcessBenefitTransInd0false
IRS990/PYGrantsAndSimilarPaidAmt012101
IRS990/PYInvestmentIncomeAmt03963
IRS990/PYOtherExpensesAmt059490
IRS990/PYOtherRevenueAmt082392
IRS990/PYRevenuesLessExpensesAmt092724
IRS990/PYTotalExpensesAmt071591
IRS990/PYTotalRevenueAmt0164315
IRS990/QuidProQuoContributionsInd0false
IRS990/RcvFndsToPayPrsnlBnftCntrctInd0false
IRS990/ReconcilationRevenueExpnssAmt0122334
IRS990/RelatedEntityInd0false
IRS990/RelatedOrganizationCtrlEntInd0false
IRS990/ReportInvestmentsOtherSecInd0false
IRS990/ReportLandBuildingEquipmentInd0false
IRS990/ReportOtherAssetsInd0false
IRS990/ReportOtherLiabilitiesInd0false
IRS990/ReportProgramRelatedInvstInd0false
IRS990/RoyaltiesRevenueGrp/RelatedOrExemptFuncIncomeAmt05150
IRS990/RoyaltiesRevenueGrp/TotalRevenueColumnAmt05150
IRS990/RtnEarnEndowmentIncmOthFndsGrp/BOYAmt0377384
IRS990/RtnEarnEndowmentIncmOthFndsGrp/EOYAmt0499718
IRS990/SavingsAndTempCashInvstGrp/BOYAmt0166868
IRS990/SavingsAndTempCashInvstGrp/EOYAmt066758
IRS990ScheduleA/GiftsGrantsContrisRcvd509Grp/CurrentTaxYearAmt042794
IRS990ScheduleA/GiftsGrantsContrisRcvd509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus1YearAmt077960
IRS990ScheduleA/GiftsGrantsContrisRcvd509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus2YearsAmt040854
IRS990ScheduleA/GiftsGrantsContrisRcvd509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus3YearsAmt0152285
IRS990ScheduleA/GiftsGrantsContrisRcvd509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus4YearsAmt078801
IRS990ScheduleA/GiftsGrantsContrisRcvd509Grp/TotalAmt0392694
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossInvestmentIncome509Grp/CurrentTaxYearAmt08261
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossInvestmentIncome509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus1YearAmt03822
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossInvestmentIncome509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus2YearsAmt0227
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossInvestmentIncome509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus3YearsAmt0226
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossInvestmentIncome509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus4YearsAmt0227
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossInvestmentIncome509Grp/TotalAmt012763
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossReceiptsAdmissionsGrp/CurrentTaxYearAmt0349284
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossReceiptsAdmissionsGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus1YearAmt0456
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossReceiptsAdmissionsGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus2YearsAmt0101490
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossReceiptsAdmissionsGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus3YearsAmt059451
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossReceiptsAdmissionsGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus4YearsAmt0359220
IRS990ScheduleA/GrossReceiptsAdmissionsGrp/TotalAmt0869901
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeAndUBTIGrp/CurrentTaxYearAmt08261
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeAndUBTIGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus1YearAmt03822
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeAndUBTIGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus2YearsAmt0227
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeAndUBTIGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus3YearsAmt0226
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeAndUBTIGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus4YearsAmt0227
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeAndUBTIGrp/TotalAmt012763
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomeCYPct00.01000
IRS990ScheduleA/InvestmentIncomePYPct00.00000
IRS990ScheduleA/PubliclySupportedOrg509a2Ind0X
IRS990ScheduleA/PublicSupportCY509Pct00.99000
IRS990ScheduleA/PublicSupportPY509Pct00.99560
IRS990ScheduleA/PublicSupportTotal509Amt01262595
IRS990ScheduleA/ThirtyThrPctSuprtTestsCY509Ind0X
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearAmt0392078
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus1YearAmt078416
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus2YearsAmt0142344
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus3YearsAmt0211736
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/CurrentTaxYearMinus4YearsAmt0438021
IRS990ScheduleA/Total509Grp/TotalAmt01262595
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearAmt0400339
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus1YearAmt082238
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus2YearsAmt0142571
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus3YearsAmt0211962
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/CurrentTaxYearMinus4YearsAmt0438248
IRS990ScheduleA/TotalSupportCalendarYearGrp/TotalAmt01275358
IRS990/ScheduleBRequiredInd0true
IRS990/ScheduleJRequiredInd0false
IRS990/ScheduleORequiredInd0true
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt0The organization is comprised of members.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt1The members elect the governing body.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt2Members vote on location of annual conference.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt3Form 990 is reviewed by the treasurer.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/ExplanationTxt4All documents are available upon request.
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc0Members or stockholder classes and rights Part VI line 6
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc1Member election for additional members Part VI line 7a
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc2Governing body decisions Part VI line 7b
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc3Form 990 governing body review Part VI line 11
IRS990ScheduleO/SupplementalInformationDetail/FormAndLineReferenceDesc4Governing documents etc available to public Part VI line 19
IRS990/SchoolOperatingInd0false
IRS990/SignificantChangeInd0false
IRS990/SignificantNewProgramSrvcInd0false
IRS990/SubjectToExcsTaxNetInvstIncInd0false
IRS990/SubjectToProxyTaxInd0false
IRS990/SubjToTaxRmnrtnExPrchtPymtInd0false
IRS990/TaxablePartyNotificationInd0false
IRS990/TaxExemptBondsInd0false
IRS990/TempOrPermanentEndowmentsInd0false
IRS990/TerminateOperationsInd0false
IRS990/TotalAssetsBOYAmt0377384
IRS990/TotalAssetsEOYAmt0499718
IRS990/TotalAssetsGrp/BOYAmt0377384
IRS990/TotalAssetsGrp/EOYAmt0499718
IRS990/TotalCompGreaterThan150KInd0false
IRS990/TotalContributionsAmt037644
IRS990/TotalEmployeeCnt00
IRS990/TotalFunctionalExpensesGrp/FundraisingAmt00
IRS990/TotalFunctionalExpensesGrp/ManagementAndGeneralAmt013935
IRS990/TotalFunctionalExpensesGrp/ProgramServicesAmt0373239
IRS990/TotalFunctionalExpensesGrp/TotalAmt0387174
IRS990/TotalGrossUBIAmt00
IRS990/TotalLiabilitiesEOYAmt00
IRS990/TotalLiabilitiesGrp/BOYAmt00
IRS990/TotalLiabilitiesGrp/EOYAmt00
IRS990/TotalNetAssetsFundBalanceGrp/BOYAmt0377384
IRS990/TotalNetAssetsFundBalanceGrp/EOYAmt0499718
IRS990/TotalOtherCompensationAmt00
IRS990/TotalProgramServiceExpensesAmt0373239
IRS990/TotalProgramServiceRevenueAmt0458452
IRS990/TotalReportableCompFromOrgAmt00
IRS990/TotalRevenueGrp/ExclusionAmt08262
IRS990/TotalRevenueGrp/RelatedOrExemptFuncIncomeAmt0463602
IRS990/TotalRevenueGrp/TotalRevenueColumnAmt0509508
IRS990/TotalRevenueGrp/UnrelatedBusinessRevenueAmt00

Document Assets

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Filings

Displayed year

2018 • Form 990Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.

Open filing
Assets
$499,718
Liabilities
$0
Net assets
$499,718
Revenue
$509,508
Expenses
$387,174
Net income
$122,334
Balance SheetOperations
YearAssetsLiabilitiesNet AssetsRevenueExpensesNet Income
2024Facts available. Structured filing facts are available, but richer extracted sections are limited.$7.67$0.00$7.67$5.77$4.78$0.99
2023XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$6.68$0.00$6.68$1.40$1.17$0.23
2022XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$6.45$0.00$6.45$4.16$3.66$0.50
2021Facts available. Structured filing facts are available, but richer extracted sections are limited.$7.11$0.00$7.11$1.49$0.61$0.88
2020Facts available. Structured filing facts are available, but richer extracted sections are limited.$6.23$0.00$6.23$1.09$0.61$0.48
2019XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$5.90$0.00$5.90$1.40$0.50$0.90
2018Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$5.00$0.00$5.00$5.10$3.87$1.22
2017Facts available. Structured filing facts are available, but richer extracted sections are limited.$3.77$0.00$3.77$0.82$0.72$0.11
2016Facts available. Structured filing facts are available, but richer extracted sections are limited.$3.67$0.00$3.67$1.42$1.32$0.11
2015XML pending. An XML filing is linked for this year, but detailed extraction is still pending.$3.56$0.00$3.56$2.12$1.88$0.24
2014Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$3.32$0.00$3.32$4.28$4.89$0.60
2013Detailed filing. Detailed filing data is available for this year.$3.92$0.00$3.92$2.20$1.07$1.13
2012Summary only. Only limited summary data is available for this year.$2.79$0.00$1.34$1.10$0.24
2011Summary only. Only limited summary data is available for this year.$2.67$0.00$0.82$0.63$0.19